A second live stream of the Austrian presidential election has emerged from Sputnik confirming that Norbert Hofer was in the lead by a large margin when the first projections were made.
A euronews video clip allowing for a sharper screenshot of the official Ministry of Interior website as the results appear shows that Hofer was leading when the cumulative results of 1917 out of 2122 regions had been fed into end projections.
It is possible to read the words in German
Austria cumulative results (1917 of 2122 regions) Stand 04 12 2016 16 54
That means, by 16 54 pm Vienna time almost all the regions in Austria had started counting votes, allowing for the first projection to be called.
It is the cumulative results (Kumuliertes Ergebnis) which allow for projections of end results. There is a margin of error between the projected cumulative results and actual end. In this case, the margin of error is given as 1.5%. That means there is no legal way that Alexander Van der Bellen could have won by 7% ten minutes later.
A screenshot from the Ministry of Interior website reporting the May presidential election also mentions cumulative results and the first projected final results in relation to the same figures. This underlines that cumulative results are not separate from projections but the very basis or input of those projections.
The claim by Der Standard that the results do not show the projection but are an aggregation of all the votes of all the regions that had finished counting at that time point is false and absurd. No where does it state that on the Ministry website that the results are a simple aggregation of all the votes in regions so far and not cumulative results used for a final projection.
Also, Der Standard’s live ticker did not report these extraordinary results, something that might have been expected.
Österreich, vorläufiges Endergebnis ohne Briefwahlstimmen.
Ing. Norbert Hofer = 1.937.863 – 51,9 %
Dr. Alexander van der Bellen = 1.793.857 – 48,1 %
Österreich, Briefwahl, kumuliertes Ergebnis (117 von 117 Gebieten),
vorläufiges Endergebnis inklusive Briefwahlstimmen.
Ing. Norbert Hofer = 257.856 – 48,1 %
Dr. Alexander van der Bellen = 277.671 – 51,9 %